Macro Tuesday 🎙️ Open Mic Ended

JUST IN: Multiple NYSE stocks have been halted for a technical issue.

— Watcher.Guru ( @WatcherGuru ) Jan 24, 2023

Handy website displaying the live US Bond Yield Curve. This should be consulted when speculating on upcoming Fed Rate changes. Remember, Bond Yields need to be priced above projected Inflation as well as Interest Rates to produce a positive Real Yield. https://t.co/mNUmrsAfKl https://t.co/8SAUhhdfO8

— ℙ𝕙𝕚 ℂ𝕒𝕡𝕚𝕥𝕒𝕝 𝕀𝕟𝕧𝕖𝕤𝕥𝕞𝕖𝕟𝕥𝕤 ( @phi_ci ) Jan 23, 2023

US Treasury Bond Yield Curve inversion between short term bonds & long term bonds is not normal. Bond markets runs the show. When there is an inversion, there is trouble on the way. It won't be long now till something breaks. May 3rd the fun really begins. 2023 gona be exciting!! https://t.co/LzJovvSsXW

— Sim ( @IronCondorWheel ) Jan 21, 2023

JUST IN: Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen advises Congress that her department is deploying an additional accounting maneuver to avert breaching the federal debt limit

— unusual_whales ( @unusual_whales ) Jan 24, 2023

*Just pub’d new price on the history showing how an inverted yield curve leads banks into curtailing credit (which neg. effects liquidity and growth and prices) Many today disregard the inverted yield curve - but it may actually cause/amplify recessions👇🏻 https://t.co/lgfk670vV4

— Adem Tumerkan ( @RadicalAdem ) Jan 24, 2023

3 Saudis have had their DEATH SENTENCES upheld for refusing to leave their houses to make way for #NEOM !! https://t.co/bI7a8dpB58

— Lina Alhathloul لينا الهذلول ( @LinaAlhathloul ) Jan 24, 2023

Black Sea Wheat futures, and easing of shipment rates should ease some of the wheat inflation we have seen. Turkey booming. Blue is Container, Orange & Yellow Tankers, Green Bulk (mostly Iron), and Pink is other. Ship with squares are anchored waiting for open berth. https://t.co/BZYJ324ciT

— Deer Point Macro ( @deerpointmacro ) Jan 24, 2023

$MSFT after hours LOL https://t.co/NNtgv9ctmY

— ℙ𝕙𝕚 ℂ𝕒𝕡𝕚𝕥𝕒𝕝 𝕀𝕟𝕧𝕖𝕤𝕥𝕞𝕖𝕟𝕥𝕤 ( @phi_ci ) Jan 24, 2023

Global Marine Traffic and Shipping Routes Live Map https://t.co/H76zch05Sj https://t.co/MlxkHphzgg

— ℙ𝕙𝕚 ℂ𝕒𝕡𝕚𝕥𝕒𝕝 𝕀𝕟𝕧𝕖𝕤𝕥𝕞𝕖𝕟𝕥𝕤 ( @phi_ci ) Jan 01, 2023

@phi_ci *So many don’t understand the cyclicality of markets (or for all reflexive systems) ~ but it’s so very important I can’t recommend this book enough by the legendary H. Marks to understand boom-bust momentums and how they repeat over and over and over https://t.co/EWAmbBWDer

— Adem Tumerkan ( @RadicalAdem ) Jan 25, 2023

*Since the 1980’s, the savings glut of the top 1% has exploded, which has fueled the debt-trap for the bot-90% (Aka as savings compounded faster than investment/growth, interest rates fell amid so much supply of savings and yield started banks lent cheap debt to bot-90%) 👇🏻 P1 https://t.co/WusRt6ZfCv

— Adem Tumerkan ( @RadicalAdem ) Jan 24, 2023

$MS briefly plunged to $84.93 after ending at $97.13 on Monday before recovering. $MCD and $WMT also fell more than 12% before trading was halted. Those drops may have triggered volatility halts on the exchange. https://t.co/7TsVmqQs7s

— Kaitlynn ( @AzureBrokerLife ) Jan 25, 2023

US M2 money supply contracted year-over-year for the very first time since the 1990's. Now that borrowing money is more expensive due to the #FED interest rate hikes, less money in circulation may compound this issue making money even more expensive and hard to come by globally. https://t.co/OfZPIgnOFA

— Sim ( @IronCondorWheel ) Jan 24, 2023

💰 If I gave you $10M to invest, what would your portfolio look like? 🔄 RT and Comment below.

— ℙ𝕙𝕚 ℂ𝕒𝕡𝕚𝕥𝕒𝕝 𝕀𝕟𝕧𝕖𝕤𝕥𝕞𝕖𝕟𝕥𝕤 ( @phi_ci ) Jan 24, 2023

Beautiful, stress-free day for the team! $RKT swing (sympathy to $WFC stepping away from mortgage biz) hit +150% $IOVA $17 initiation from Truist this morning, up +42% in minutes $GOLD swing (started with profits from our Oct. gold swing) up +35% from entry just last Thursday https://t.co/dDxroahj5u

— Stock Talk Weekly ( @stocktalkweekly ) Jan 24, 2023

@phi_ci German current account over last few decades https://t.co/RZkkFp2kDw

— Adem Tumerkan ( @RadicalAdem ) Jan 25, 2023

@phi_ci Eurozone turned into huge current account surplus nation bloc after German austerity post-2012 https://t.co/7cs4z4oGkh

— Adem Tumerkan ( @RadicalAdem ) Jan 25, 2023

So far with the China reopening copper imports down, oil imports down, soybeans also down slightly, the only import that is up is steel imports. https://t.co/AxyO71iCGj

— Deer Point Macro ( @deerpointmacro ) Jan 25, 2023

@phi_ci US was running deficits since late-1950 https://t.co/2lytFUWXlu

— Adem Tumerkan ( @RadicalAdem ) Jan 25, 2023

@phi_ci Here’s the book Nostra was talking about by the Indian value investor - it’s a great book (in my SA reading list) https://t.co/O6tqviyN19

— Adem Tumerkan ( @RadicalAdem ) Jan 25, 2023

NEW FROM US: Adani Group – How The World’s 3rd Richest Man Is Pulling The Largest Con In Corporate History https://t.co/JkZFt60V7f (1/x)

— Hindenburg Research ( @HindenburgRes ) Jan 25, 2023

Short-seller Hindenburg Research says Gautam Adani (world's 3rd richest man) & his 'Adani Group' are running the "largest con in corporate history", a corrupt family business, ripe with money laundering, shells, and stock schemes. They see 85%+ downside from fundamentals alone. https://t.co/c2tZVG1IzH

— Stock Talk Weekly ( @stocktalkweekly ) Jan 25, 2023

@phi_ci https://t.co/orhBaEgDSb The Dhando Invetsor book - reading chapter 10 is an absolute must (thank me later)

— Adem Tumerkan ( @RadicalAdem ) Jan 25, 2023

@phi_ci https://t.co/du7sc3mDZw ‘BLOWING UP’ by Malcolm Gladwell on how Nassim Taleb’s hedge fund made a killing when Victor Neiderhoffer blew up (ie selling pus only works until a black swan happens) One of my fav papers ever

— Adem Tumerkan ( @RadicalAdem ) Jan 25, 2023

@phi_ci Private equity pumping into cybersecurity and paying big $ though (2022 is only up til June) https://t.co/r02Yfe6Wna

— Adem Tumerkan ( @RadicalAdem ) Jan 25, 2023

Adani Group: How The World’s 3rd Richest Man Is Pulling The Largest Con In Corporate History https://t.co/xVhHoqTQgf

— Whole Mars Catalog ( @WholeMarsBlog ) Jan 25, 2023

NEWS: Binance says an "error" led to $539 million in token reserves being mixed with customer funds in a $16.5 billion exchange wallet, according to Bloomberg.

— Stock Talk Weekly ( @stocktalkweekly ) Jan 24, 2023

2/ Americanas, the parent company of Brazilian retailer, announced accounting “inconsistencies” in the billions last week. https://t.co/imweZSWdhD

— Lilly ( @LillybeLilly ) Jan 17, 2023

4/ The billions in “accounting inconsistencies” involved the company purchasing from suppliers with net 90 terms. Americanas suppliers then sold this debt at a discount to banks to get their money faster. Americanas did not pay within the 90 days and the situation snowballed.

— Lilly ( @LillybeLilly ) Jan 17, 2023

5/ Americanas “reference shareholders” are the founders of 3G Capital. https://t.co/eRfBATjJ98

— Lilly ( @LillybeLilly ) Jan 17, 2023

9/ Banco BTG Pactual SA is accusing Americanas of breaching its credit contract, and is appealing an injunction providing protection to Americanas from creditors https://t.co/fz3RkROBE6

— Lilly ( @LillybeLilly ) Jan 17, 2023

8/ There was some conduct at Kraft-Heinz that resulted in a $62 million SEC fine - and @retheauditors has some great insight around Kraft-Heinz and Americanas https://t.co/nlLPYayN76

— Lilly ( @LillybeLilly ) Jan 17, 2023

7/ 3G Capital also teamed up with Berkshire Hathaway to merge Kraft and Heinz $BRK.B $KHC https://t.co/Qeu2ymBqa0

— Lilly ( @LillybeLilly ) Jan 17, 2023

6/ The Brazilian billionaire founders of 3G Capital have a history of big deals, including Anheuser-Busch InBev $BUD https://t.co/dJJWk06BNV

— Lilly ( @LillybeLilly ) Jan 17, 2023

*I have spent thousands of $’s on books and thousands of hours writing notes while reading It may be an Addiction https://t.co/95UiweCQac

— Adem Tumerkan ( @RadicalAdem ) Jan 25, 2023

Teslarati picks up our exclusive! @JohnnaCrider1 “Bargersville Police Dept shares photo of #Tesla police vehicle charging” https://t.co/AxRiEJ6BqR https://t.co/3UG6pY9b9T

— TheTeslaLife ( @TheTeslaLife ) Sep 06, 2022

Good morning, Asia. This was our most read story while you were sleeping. https://t.co/fvbvF3qNZz

— Nikkei Asia ( @NikkeiAsia ) Jan 25, 2023

Adani shares fall as short seller firm Hindenburg announces short position https://t.co/3FtuG4iPPV

— CNBC ( @CNBC ) Jan 25, 2023

Wrap your head around this: Storing the energy equivalent of one barrel of oil, which weighs 300 pounds and costs $81.00 requires 20,000 pounds of EV batteries that cost $200,000. Now imagine how much mining we have to do in order make 20,000 pounds of battery. #GreenEnergy https://t.co/mMrCNm1mmL

— John Lee Pettimore ( @JohnLeePettim13 ) Jan 24, 2023

Ok, lets talk about EVs. How much mining is required to make an EV battery? Lithium brines typically contain less than 0.1% lithium, so that entails some 25,000 pounds of brines to get the 25 pounds of pure lithium needed to fabricate a single battery. #GreenEnergy 🧵 https://t.co/zOO3vVydGc

— John Lee Pettimore ( @JohnLeePettim13 ) Jan 22, 2023

Big earnings week before the Fed meeting... https://t.co/xSCmos56Ci

— Special Situations 🌐 Research Newsletter (Jay) ( @SpecialSitsNews ) Jan 23, 2023

ASML Q4 22 Earnings: - Net Sales EU6.43B (est EU6.38B) - Gross Margin 51.5% (est 49.3%) - Sees Q1 Net Sales EU6.1B To EU6.5B (est EU6.07B)

— LiveSquawk ( @LiveSquawk ) Jan 25, 2023

The Semiconductor Value Chain We have created an infographic explaining the complex industry dynamics of semiconductor manufacturing, showing how key players like $TSM, $NVDA, $ASML, $TXN, and $CDNS fit into the ecosystem: https://t.co/wTdRtxtyoQ

— Quartr ( @Quartr_App ) Jan 16, 2023

BREAKING: $ASML reports €21.2 billion net sales and €5.6 billion net income in 2022; despite challenging environment, continued strong sales growth expected in 2023 https://t.co/n8TMb0Aqkc https://t.co/qhNYXCDyfv

— ASML ( @ASMLcompany ) Jan 25, 2023